The following tables provide the statistical chances to cast a spell sucessfully given a number of conditions (how many dice the defender is rolling).
This data was tabulated by calculating every possiable result and determining success or failure (via a computer of course). The data has gone through about
three or four revisions so it should be pretty accurate, however I will admit that I am not perfect and could have messed something up.
Probabilities for succesful Cast on 2D6 |
Difficulty Number | Not Dispelled |
Attempt Dispell with 2D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 3D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 4D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 5D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 6D6 |
4+ |
91.6% |
55.0% |
24.3% |
16.4% |
20.3% |
26.1% |
5+ |
83.3% |
53.7% |
23.7% |
15.3% |
18.6% |
23.9% |
6+ |
72.2% |
50.6% |
22.7% |
13.9% |
16.4% |
21.0% |
7+ |
58.3% |
44.8% |
21.1% |
12.0% |
13.7% |
17.4% |
8+ |
41.6% |
35.1% |
18.1% |
9.83% |
10.5% |
13.0% |
9+ |
27.7% |
25.0% |
14.5% |
7.82% |
7.77% |
9.35% |
10+ |
16.6% |
15.8% |
10.4% |
5.97% |
5.58% |
6.43% |
11+ |
8.33% |
8.17% |
6.25% |
4.26% |
3.92% |
4.24% |
12+ |
2.77% |
2.77% |
2.77% |
2.77% |
2.77% |
2.77% |
chance for Miscast (1,1) | 2.77% |
chance for Iressistable Force (6,6) | 2.77% |
Probabilities for succesful Cast on 3D6 |
Difficulty Number | Not Dispelled |
Attempt Dispell with 2D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 3D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 4D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 5D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 6D6 |
4+ |
92.5% |
80.9% |
54.0% |
31.8% |
26.3% |
30.0% |
5+ |
92.5% |
80.9% |
54.0% |
31.8% |
26.3% |
30.0% |
6+ |
91.2% |
80.5% |
53.9% |
31.6% |
26.1% |
29.6% |
7+ |
87.9% |
79.1% |
53.5% |
31.2% |
25.4% |
28.7% |
8+ |
82.4% |
75.9% |
52.5% |
30.4% |
24.3% |
27.3% |
9+ |
74.0% |
69.9% |
50.3% |
29.2% |
22.7% |
25.1% |
10+ |
62.5% |
60.2% |
46.0% |
27.3% |
20.4% |
22.0% |
11+ |
50.0% |
48.8% |
39.7% |
24.7% |
17.9% |
18.8% |
12+ |
37.5% |
36.6% |
31.9% |
21.4% |
15.3% |
15.5% |
chance for Miscast (1,1) | 7.40% |
chance for Iressistable Force (6,6) | 7.40% |
Probabilities for succesful Cast on 4D6 |
Difficulty Number | Not Dispelled |
Attempt Dispell with 2D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 3D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 4D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 5D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 6D6 |
4+ |
86.8% |
83.8% |
72.5% |
52.7% |
37.6% |
34.3% |
5+ |
86.8% |
83.8% |
72.5% |
52.7% |
37.6% |
34.3% |
6+ |
86.8% |
83.8% |
72.5% |
52.7% |
37.6% |
34.3% |
7+ |
86.8% |
83.8% |
72.5% |
52.7% |
37.6% |
34.3% |
8+ |
86.4% |
83.6% |
72.5% |
52.7% |
37.6% |
34.2% |
9+ |
85.4% |
82.9% |
72.2% |
52.5% |
37.4% |
33.9% |
10+ |
83.3% |
81.1% |
71.4% |
52.2% |
37.0% |
33.3% |
11+ |
79.4% |
77.6% |
69.5% |
51.4% |
36.2% |
32.3% |
12+ |
73.3% |
71.6% |
65.6% |
49.7% |
34.9% |
30.7% |
chance for Miscast (1,1) | 13.1% |
chance for Iressistable Force (6,6) | 12.7% |
Probabilities for succesful Cast on 5D6 |
Difficulty Number | Not Dispelled |
Attempt Dispell with 2D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 3D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 4D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 5D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 6D6 |
4+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
5+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
6+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
7+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
8+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
9+ |
80.3% |
78.6% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
10+ |
80.3% |
78.5% |
74.5% |
65.1% |
51.5% |
41.9% |
11+ |
80.0% |
78.3% |
74.3% |
65.1% |
51.4% |
41.8% |
12+ |
79.3% |
77.6% |
73.9% |
64.9% |
51.3% |
41.7% |
chance for Miscast (1,1) | 19.6% |
chance for Iressistable Force (6,6) | 17.8% |
Probabilities for succesful Cast on 6D6 |
Difficulty Number | Not Dispelled |
Attempt Dispell with 2D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 3D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 4D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 5D6 |
Attempt Dispell with 6D6 |
4+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
5+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
6+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
7+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
8+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
9+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
10+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
11+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
12+ |
73.6% |
72.2% |
69.7% |
65.9% |
58.9% |
chance for Miscast (1,1) | 26.3% |
chance for Iressistable Force (6,6) | 22.1% |
Written by: Matthew Zeher
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